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What do the percentage chance mean?

Written by Sam | PredictionHero

The percentage shown for each outcome is the implied probability derived from current market prices. Implied probability is the likelihood of an outcome expressed as a percentage, based on market prices.


In prediction markets, prices typically range from $0 to $1 and directly reflect probability. For example:

  • A price of $0.70 = 70% chance

  • A price of $0.25 = 25% chance

This is not a guarantee β€” it reflects the current collective opinion of the market participants, which can change rapidly as new information emerges.

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